New PDF release: Bayesian Networks [expert systems]

By W. Premchaiswaid

ISBN-10: 9535105566

ISBN-13: 9789535105565

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5. Characterization of an extreme event In the financial world, extreme events are termed “extraordinary items” which are defined as unusual in nature AND infrequent in its occurrence (Kieso, Weygandt and Warfield, 2007). Using this information, let us define an extreme event as an incident, that is; (a) unusual in nature AND/OR (b) infrequent in its occurrence. ” Let us explore this matter in more depth. C. C. Using Dynamic Bayesian Networks for Investigating the Impacts of Extreme Events 41 While many extreme events have occurred here in the United States, no better incident meets this definition than the terrorist attack on the World Trade Center on September 11, 2001.

The timing of well thought out decisions also plays a critical role since delay in decision-making by a split second may have devastating consequences. This is true with any critical situation, such as during a war which can be won or lost with one right or wrong decision. Extensive research using game theory has been done in this area. Bayesian Networks (BNs) have been extensively applied in problems where causality, uncertainty, and interdependence among variables plays a role (Jha 2006 & 2009).

Dynamic Bayesian Networks (DBNs) are extensions of BNs that take the time varying natures of various events into consideration (Jha 2009); thereby, allowing the modeling of close to real-world scenarios more realistically. This paper explores the use of DBNs for modeling transportation infrastructure interdependencies while considering the resiliency of impacted infrastructure. 3. Resiliency and interdependency of critical urban infrastructure during extreme events The resiliency and interdependency of critical urban transportation infrastructure needs to be carefully explored during extreme events.

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Bayesian Networks [expert systems] by W. Premchaiswaid


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