Read e-book online Beliefs and Leadership in World Politics: Methods and PDF

By Mark Schafer, Stephen G. Walker

ISBN-10: 140397182X

ISBN-13: 9781403971821

ISBN-10: 1403983496

ISBN-13: 9781403983497

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Additional info for Beliefs and Leadership in World Politics: Methods and Applications of Operational Code Analysis (Advances in Foreign Policy Analysis)

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If the subject’s rhetoric indicates that self is taking most of the action, then self sees self as more in control. On the other hand, if the rhetoric indicates that others are the ones who act more frequently, then self is attributing control to others. To measure this, we compute a simple ratio of the number of self attributions to the number of actions that self attributes to others. The index varies between 0 and 1. 10 The formula for the P-4 index is the number of self utterances divided by the sum of self utterances plus other utterances.

The rigor of game theory models specifies both actions by states and outcomes between them. Plan of the Book In part II, we investigate in more detail the methodological problems and solutions associated with the application of these developments in the study of beliefs and foreign policy decisions. Chapter 2 is a primer on the use of the VICS to do content analysis by hand and by machine in order to retrieve and classify a leader’s beliefs. Chapter 3 presents an expanded Theory of Inferences about Preferences (TIP), which identifies a taxonomy of subjective games derived from a leader’s key beliefs about the nature of the political universe, the relative control over historical development by self and other, and the attribution of strategies to self and other.

3. Rabin’s Self coordinates placed Israel in the Type C (I-1 ϭ Cooperative, P-4a ϭ High Control) quadrant with preferences ranked as {settle Ͼ dominate Ͼ deadlock Ͼ submit}. 3 ↓ OTHER CO CF 4,3 →| 1,4 ↓ 4,4 →| 1,2 CF “3,1”← 2,3* CF Dominate Deadlock OTHER STRATEGY: MOVE ISRAEL OUTCOMES OTHER CO CF CO CO Submit Dominate OTHER CO CF CO 4,3 |← 1,4 ISRAEL ↓ ← ↓ ISRAEL CO Settle ↓ CO OTHER CO CF OTHER CO CF ↓ OTHER CO CF CF Submit Deadlock CF “3,1” 2,2* OTHER OUTCOMES OTHER STRATEGY: MOVE Israeli Subjective Games and Strategies in 1970s and 1990s.

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Beliefs and Leadership in World Politics: Methods and Applications of Operational Code Analysis (Advances in Foreign Policy Analysis) by Mark Schafer, Stephen G. Walker


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