Download e-book for kindle: Reassessing the Incumbency Effect by Jeffrey M. Stonecash

By Jeffrey M. Stonecash

ISBN-10: 0521515513

ISBN-13: 9780521515511

ISBN-10: 0521733227

ISBN-13: 9780521733229

Incumbents within the U.S. residence of Representatives have most likely elevated their vote chances in fresh many years, elevating questions on the efficacy of elections in making individuals responsive. The facts, although, exhibits there was no development within the electoral fortunes of incumbents within the final 50 years. merely Republicans have better their electoral fortunes due to realignment. This necessary booklet presents a really assorted interpretation of the way incumbents have fared in contemporary many years, and the translation is supported by means of non-technical facts research and presentation.

Show description

Read or Download Reassessing the Incumbency Effect PDF

Similar elections books

Download e-book for kindle: The Party System by Hilaire Belloc

Hilaire Belloc was once sincerely some of the most remarkable intellects in heritage. Over the process his impressive literary profession, he wrote and had released over one hundred fifty books. and plenty of of those are among the finest and most crucial books i've got ever learn. yet, past this, Belloc used to be additionally, every now and then, a certified soldier, newspaper guy, poet, author of kid's tales, controversialist, apologist, or even an elected member of Parliament!

Download e-book for kindle: On Voter Competence by Paul Goren

A part century of analysis indicates that the majority voters are shockingly uninformed approximately public affairs, liberal-conservative ideologies, and the problems of the day. This has led so much students to sentence usual American electorate as politically brainless and to finish that coverage balloting lies past their succeed in.

Download PDF by John Riddell: To the Masses: Proceedings of the Third Congress of the

Debates at global Communism’s 1921 congress demonstrate Lenin’s foreign at a second of drawback. A coverage of confrontational projects through a resolute minority contends with the point of view of successful majority working-class help at the highway to the innovative conquest of energy. A frank debate between many currents concludes with a vintage formula of Communist approach and strategies.

Additional resources for Reassessing the Incumbency Effect

Sample text

Some begin their careers in districts heavily inclined to elect a Democrat or a Republican, such that their initial vote percentages are relatively high. Others begin in competitive districts with lower percentages. There needs to be recognition of where incumbents start. If one started at 55 and another at 65, the goal is to track the ability to increase a vote percentage from its initial level. 2. Effect of years in office, overall and by time groupings, excluding those serving one term and not running for reelection, 1900–2006 Time period N Intercept Initial % No.

I include contested and uncontested elections. The focus here is on all House elections, not some subset of them (see Stonecash, 2003). cumulative career changes 39 The slope is the average increase in the vote percentage as the number of years in office increases. If the slope is positive, it means that every successive election results in a higher vote percentage. This approach also makes it possible to deal with the issue of how recent decades compare with the past. The analyses that have been done previously present increases for the years since 1946, yet the argument is often about how the present (1946 to now) compares with the past.

Each of these decisions, however, deserves consideration, and each affects the derived trend in vote percentages. DECISIONS AND THEIR CONSEQUENCES Each of Mayhew’s (1974a) initial decisions and subsequent practices need to be considered for their implications. First is how an electoral outcome should be classified, as marginal or safe or by the vote percentage. Born (1979) argued that the focus should be on average percentages received by incumbents and not just on whether an outcome is or is not marginal.

Download PDF sample

Reassessing the Incumbency Effect by Jeffrey M. Stonecash


by Paul
4.0

Rated 4.39 of 5 – based on 9 votes